League Two · Matchweek 14
Salford City
SAL
Exeter City
EXE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salford54%
Draw26%
Exeter20%
Expected goals
1.65 – 0.93
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Exeter will not mind.
61%Possession46%
33%Territory29%
34%From set plays44%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salford, 3 for Exeter. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.