League Two · Matchweek 14
Oldham Athletic
OLD
Crawley Town
CRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oldham54%
Draw23%
Crawley23%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.22
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Oldham will not mind.
47%Possession64%
37%Territory39%
35%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.10
8.1%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Oldham, 4 for Crawley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.