League Two · Matchweek 13
Walsall
WAL
Salford City
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Walsall42%
Draw28%
Salford29%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.14
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession61%
34%Territory33%
35%From set plays34%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Walsall, 3 for Salford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.