League Two · Matchweek 13
Rotherham United
ROT
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rotherham43%
Draw29%
Shrewsbury28%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.06
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–010.2%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rotherham will have the ball; Shrewsbury will not mind.
54%Possession42%
42%Territory31%
5%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rotherham, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.