League Two · Matchweek 13
Rochdale
ROC
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rochdale34%
Draw27%
Accrington39%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.49
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–18.9%
- 1–28.6%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rochdale will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
50%Possession40%
29%Territory31%
31%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.16
4.9%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rochdale, 3 for Accrington. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.