Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League Two · Matchweek 13

Gillingham

GIL

Grimsby Town

GRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gillingham30%
Draw26%
Grimsby44%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.63

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 2–17.2%
  • 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Grimsby will have the ball; Gillingham will not mind.

46%Possession56%
28%Territory36%
17%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.15
7.7%Directness8.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Gillingham, 4 for Grimsby.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.