League Two · Matchweek 13
Crawley Town
CRA
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crawley46%
Draw25%
Tranmere30%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.39
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Tranmere will not mind.
64%Possession48%
39%Territory36%
25%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness9.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Crawley, 3 for Tranmere. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.