League Two · Matchweek 13
Chesterfield
CHS
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chesterfield55%
Draw23%
Crewe22%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.17
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Crewe will not mind.
57%Possession49%
39%Territory32%
18%From set plays33%
0.13Chance quality0.07
7.1%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chesterfield, 3 for Crewe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.