League Two · Matchweek 12
Walsall
WAL
Oldham Athletic
OLD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Walsall44%
Draw27%
Oldham29%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.18
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Walsall will have the ball; Oldham will not mind.
57%Possession47%
34%Territory37%
35%From set plays35%
0.08Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Walsall, 3 for Oldham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.