League Two · Matchweek 12
Rotherham United
ROT
Newport County
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rotherham47%
Draw25%
Newport28%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.27
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rotherham will have the ball; Newport will not mind.
54%Possession40%
42%Territory25%
5%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.14
4.5%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rotherham, 3 for Newport. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.