League Two · Matchweek 12
Northampton Town
NOR
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Northampton35%
Draw29%
Tranmere36%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.25
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–09.6%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Northampton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession48%
27%Territory36%
49%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness9.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Northampton, 3 for Tranmere. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Northampton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.