League Two · Matchweek 12
Crawley Town
CRA
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crawley41%
Draw29%
Shrewsbury30%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.13
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–09.6%
- 0–19.6%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Shrewsbury will not mind.
64%Possession42%
39%Territory31%
25%From set plays35%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Crawley, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.