League Two · Matchweek 12
Cheltenham Town
CHE
Fleetwood Town
FLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cheltenham37%
Draw26%
Fleetwood37%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.52
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fleetwood will have the ball; Cheltenham will not mind.
39%Possession51%
26%Territory36%
34%From set plays36%
0.16Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cheltenham, 4 for Fleetwood. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.