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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League Two · Matchweek 12

Bristol Rovers

BRI

Salford City

SAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bristol Rovers41%
Draw27%
Salford32%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.30

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Salford will have the ball; Bristol Rovers will not mind.

46%Possession61%
41%Territory33%
38%From set plays34%
0.07Chance quality0.09
9.2%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bristol Rovers, 3 for Salford. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.