League Two · Matchweek 11
Swindon Town
SWI
Walsall
WAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swindon37%
Draw27%
Walsall36%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.38
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Walsall will have the ball; Swindon will not mind.
39%Possession57%
36%Territory34%
26%From set plays35%
0.13Chance quality0.08
8.6%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swindon, 3 for Walsall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.