League Two · Matchweek 11
Port Vale
POR
Chesterfield
CHS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Port Vale28%
Draw26%
Chesterfield45%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.58
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Port Vale will not mind.
49%Possession57%
35%Territory39%
34%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.13
6.8%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Port Vale, 3 for Chesterfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.