League Two · Matchweek 11
Oldham Athletic
OLD
Cheltenham Town
CHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oldham55%
Draw23%
Cheltenham22%
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.26
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–07.7%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Oldham will have the ball; Cheltenham will not mind.
47%Possession39%
37%Territory26%
35%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.16
8.1%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Oldham, 3 for Cheltenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.