League Two · Matchweek 11
Newport County
NEW
York City
YOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newport32%
Draw25%
York City43%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.71
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Newport will not mind.
40%Possession64%
25%Territory33%
25%From set plays29%
0.14Chance quality0.12
8.2%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newport, 3 for York City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.