League Two · Matchweek 10
York City
YOR
Northampton Town
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
York City60%
Draw23%
Northampton17%
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.93
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 2–010.6%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–110.0%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Northampton will not mind.
64%Possession47%
33%Territory27%
29%From set plays49%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for York City, 4 for Northampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.