League Two · Matchweek 10
Newport County
NEW
Colchester United
COL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newport33%
Draw27%
Colchester40%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.48
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–28.6%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Colchester will have the ball; Newport will not mind.
40%Possession52%
25%Territory34%
25%From set plays30%
0.14Chance quality0.08
8.2%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newport, 4 for Colchester. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.