League Two · Matchweek 10
Fleetwood Town
FLE
Walsall
WAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fleetwood35%
Draw29%
Walsall36%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.28
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.2%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession57%
36%Territory34%
36%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Fleetwood, 3 for Walsall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.