League Two · Matchweek 9
Walsall
WAL
Crawley Town
CRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Walsall61%
Draw20%
Crawley19%
Expected goals
2.41 – 1.36
Over 2.5
71%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.2%
- 1–17.8%
- 3–17.3%
- 2–06.9%
- 2–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession51%
30%Territory41%
24%From set plays42%
0.18Chance quality0.10
7.8%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Walsall, 3 for Crawley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.