League Two · Matchweek 9
Salford City
SAL
Fleetwood Town
FLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salford47%
Draw26%
Fleetwood26%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.15
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Fleetwood will not mind.
61%Possession51%
33%Territory36%
34%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.2%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salford, 4 for Fleetwood. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.