League Two · Matchweek 9
Rochdale
ROC
Swindon Town
SWI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rochdale28%
Draw26%
Swindon46%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.63
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–27.2%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rochdale will have the ball; Swindon will not mind.
50%Possession39%
29%Territory36%
31%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.9%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rochdale, 3 for Swindon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.