League Two · Matchweek 9
Northampton Town
NOR
Oldham Athletic
OLD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Northampton37%
Draw28%
Oldham35%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.30
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession46%
41%Territory41%
27%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.12
6.4%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Northampton, 3 for Oldham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.