League Two · Matchweek 9
Grimsby Town
GRI
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grimsby59%
Draw24%
Shrewsbury17%
Expected goals
1.75 – 0.86
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 2–011.1%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Grimsby will have the ball; Shrewsbury will not mind.
56%Possession42%
36%Territory31%
26%From set plays35%
0.15Chance quality0.08
8.6%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Grimsby, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.