League Two · Matchweek 9
Exeter City
EXE
Rotherham United
ROT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Exeter36%
Draw28%
Rotherham35%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.29
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–08.6%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rotherham will have the ball; Exeter will not mind.
46%Possession54%
29%Territory42%
44%From set plays5%
0.10Chance quality0.12
7.7%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Exeter, 3 for Rotherham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.