League Two · Matchweek 9
Colchester United
COL
Port Vale
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Colchester48%
Draw27%
Port Vale26%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.13
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Port Vale get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession53%
35%Territory33%
27%From set plays46%
0.15Chance quality0.14
6.9%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Colchester, 3 for Port Vale. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colchester
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.