League Two · Matchweek 9
Chesterfield
CHS
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chesterfield59%
Draw22%
Tranmere19%
Expected goals
2.11 – 1.18
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.4%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Tranmere will not mind.
57%Possession48%
39%Territory36%
18%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.12
7.1%Directness9.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chesterfield, 3 for Tranmere. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.