League Two · Matchweek 9
Barnet
BAR
York City
YOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barnet53%
Draw22%
York City25%
Expected goals
2.08 – 1.42
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–19.1%
- 1–06.8%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Barnet will not mind.
52%Possession64%
40%Territory33%
28%From set plays29%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barnet, 3 for York City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.