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League Two · Matchweek 8

Tranmere Rovers

TRA

Walsall

WAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tranmere29%
Draw27%
Walsall43%

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.51

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 0110.4%
  • 129.0%
  • 108.1%
  • 007.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Walsall will have the ball; Tranmere will not mind.

48%Possession57%
36%Territory34%
19%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.08
9.4%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tranmere, 3 for Walsall. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.