League Two · Matchweek 8
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Colchester United
COL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shrewsbury33%
Draw30%
Colchester36%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.19
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.9%
- 0–011.3%
- 1–011.2%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Colchester will have the ball; Shrewsbury will not mind.
42%Possession52%
31%Territory34%
35%From set plays30%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.1%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Shrewsbury, 4 for Colchester. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.