League Two · Matchweek 8
Rotherham United
ROT
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rotherham44%
Draw26%
Crewe30%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.29
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crewe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession49%
42%Territory32%
5%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rotherham, 3 for Crewe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.