League Two · Matchweek 8
Oldham Athletic
OLD
Salford City
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oldham42%
Draw27%
Salford31%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.31
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Oldham will not mind.
47%Possession61%
37%Territory33%
35%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.09
8.1%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Oldham, 3 for Salford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.