League Two · Matchweek 8
Crawley Town
CRA
Barnet
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crawley26%
Draw23%
Barnet50%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.94
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–17.5%
- 0–26.6%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Barnet will not mind.
64%Possession52%
39%Territory40%
25%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Crawley, 3 for Barnet. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.