League Two · Matchweek 7
Salford City
SAL
Swindon Town
SWI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salford48%
Draw25%
Swindon27%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.27
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Swindon will not mind.
61%Possession39%
33%Territory36%
34%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.2%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salford, 3 for Swindon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.