League Two · Matchweek 7
Northampton Town
NOR
Rotherham United
ROT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Northampton31%
Draw29%
Rotherham39%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.31
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Northampton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession54%
27%Territory42%
49%From set plays5%
0.07Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Northampton, 3 for Rotherham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Northampton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.