League Two · Matchweek 7
Grimsby Town
GRI
Crawley Town
CRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grimsby64%
Draw20%
Crawley16%
Expected goals
2.24 – 1.10
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.0%
- 1–18.8%
- 1–08.6%
- 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Grimsby will not mind.
56%Possession64%
36%Territory39%
26%From set plays25%
0.15Chance quality0.10
8.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Grimsby, 4 for Crawley.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.