League Two · Matchweek 7
Gillingham
GIL
Bristol Rovers
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gillingham38%
Draw27%
Bristol Rovers35%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.38
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol Rovers get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession46%
28%Territory41%
17%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.07
7.7%Directness9.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Gillingham, 4 for Bristol Rovers.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.