League Two · Matchweek 7
Exeter City
EXE
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Exeter41%
Draw28%
Tranmere32%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.23
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Exeter get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession48%
29%Territory36%
44%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.12
7.7%Directness9.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Exeter, 3 for Tranmere. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.