League Two · Matchweek 7
Colchester United
COL
Cheltenham Town
CHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Colchester53%
Draw24%
Cheltenham24%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.25
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–07.6%
- 2–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Colchester will have the ball; Cheltenham will not mind.
52%Possession39%
34%Territory26%
30%From set plays34%
0.08Chance quality0.16
5.8%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Colchester, 3 for Cheltenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.