Championship · Matchweek 29
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Wrexham
WRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves44%
Draw29%
Wrexham27%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.04
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–010.0%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession53%
36%Territory36%
15%From set plays37%
0.09Chance quality0.08
5.2%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wolves, 3 for Wrexham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.