Championship · Matchweek 29
Swansea City
SWA
Birmingham City
BIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swansea36%
Draw28%
Birmingham36%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.34
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Birmingham will not mind.
65%Possession49%
39%Territory34%
34%From set plays5%
0.10Chance quality0.13
4.5%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swansea, 3 for Birmingham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Birmingham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.