Championship · Matchweek 29
Southampton
SOU
Preston North End
PRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Southampton72%
Draw17%
Preston11%
Expected goals
2.42 – 0.86
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.2%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–08.6%
- 1–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Southampton will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
53%Possession36%
38%Territory35%
14%From set plays43%
0.12Chance quality0.07
3.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Southampton, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Preston
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.