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Championship · Matchweek 29

Sheffield United

SHU

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sheff Utd66%
Draw21%
Charlton13%

Expected goals

1.96 – 0.77

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.3%
  • 2–012.4%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 3–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sheff Utd get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession43%
47%Territory32%
60%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.07
7.2%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Utd, 3 for Charlton. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.