Championship · Matchweek 29
Norwich City
NOR
Bristol City
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich37%
Draw28%
Bristol City35%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.31
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Norwich will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.
55%Possession42%
39%Territory33%
15%From set plays33%
0.08Chance quality0.14
4.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Norwich, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.