Championship · Matchweek 29
Millwall
MIL
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Millwall37%
Draw26%
West Brom37%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.53
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.6%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Millwall get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession60%
41%Territory38%
29%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.15
7.2%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Millwall, 3 for West Brom. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.