Championship · Matchweek 29
Middlesbrough
MID
Watford
WAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Middlesbrough71%
Draw18%
Watford11%
Expected goals
2.27 – 0.80
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.0%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.7%
- 1–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Watford will not mind.
59%Possession43%
42%Territory31%
15%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Middlesbrough, 3 for Watford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Middlesbrough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.