Championship · Matchweek 29
Lincoln City
LIN
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln20%
Draw23%
QPR56%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.89
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–36.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lincoln get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
38%Possession45%
28%Territory35%
57%From set plays41%
0.11Chance quality0.16
10.5%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lincoln, 3 for QPR. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.