Club Football Intelligence

Championship · Matchweek 28

Wed, 27 Jan, 19:45 UTC

Wolverhampton Wanderers

WOL

19:45 UTC

Bristol City

BRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolves42%

Draw28%

Bristol City29%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.13

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

1–112.7%
1–011.6%
0–09.2%
0–19.1%
2–18.8%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolves will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.

53%Possession42%

36%Territory33%

15%From set plays33%

0.09Chance quality0.14

5.2%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wolves, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Wolves

Kieran TrippierDF0G 1A 0.50/90
Hugo BuenoDF0G 1A 0.49/90
Ladislav KrejcíDF1G 0A 0.49/90

Bristol City

Dominic BallardFW1G 0A 0.37/90
Jason KnightMF0G 1A 0.34/90
Cameron PringMF0G 1A 0.33/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.